diff --git a/data.json b/data.json index 2ea0c01..da5d57b 100644 --- a/data.json +++ b/data.json @@ -7,13 +7,13 @@ "agent_bns": "iskander-ai.btc", "version": "3.0", "bounty": "AIBTC Bounty #38 - Bitcoin Quantum Upgrade", - "total_assessed": 66, + "total_assessed": 67, "ranked": 50, - "notable_additions": 16, + "notable_additions": 17, "score_distribution": { "5_urgent": 7, - "4_proactive": 15, - "3_cautious": 9, + "4_proactive": 17, + "3_cautious": 8, "2_dismissive": 8, "1_no_known_view": 27 }, @@ -213,9 +213,23 @@ "change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; LightStim DEM automation for QEC (arXiv 2604.21472)", "pr": "#31", "contributor": "@1feems" + }, + { + "date": "2026-05-11", + "developer": "Han Luo et al.", + "change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; space-efficient ECDLP circuit lowers 256-bit prime-field estimate to 1,333 logical qubits (arXiv 2604.02311)", + "pr": null, + "contributor": "@NoeFabris" + }, + { + "date": "2026-05-11", + "developer": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun", + "change": "score 3→4 — May 2026 bitcoin-dev post proposes immediate post-quantum BIP-324 transport upgrade path using ML-KEM/hybrid KEM designs", + "pr": null, + "contributor": "@NoeFabris" } ], - "last_updated": "2026-05-05", + "last_updated": "2026-05-11", "next_review": "weekly — Sundays (DRI synthesis)" }, "developers": [ @@ -564,17 +578,21 @@ "name": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun", "affiliation": "Lightning Labs (CTO)", "role": "BIP Editor, Lightning Lead", - "quantum_urgency_score": 3, - "pq_work_volume": 2, + "quantum_urgency_score": 4, + "pq_work_volume": 3, "notable": false, - "summary": "Engaged with PQ HD wallet derivation on bitcoin-dev (Dec 2025): DilithiumRK, Falcon, SPHINCS+. On Apr 8, 2026 posted zk-STARK proof of BIP-32 seed knowledge enabling BIP-86 Taproot wallet recovery to bitcoin-dev mailing list. Proof generation ~55s on consumer MacBook, verification <2s, ~1.7 MB proof size (per CoinDesk). First executable code for post-quantum Taproot wallet recovery without exposing the seed. Research-engaged, building working tools, not advocating for urgency.", - "key_source": "https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool", + "summary": "Escalated from research-engaged to proactive in May 2026 bitcoin-dev discussion by proposing a post-quantum path for BIP-324 transport encryption. Argues Bitcoin P2P transport is also quantum-vulnerable because BIP-324 uses ECDH, describes harvest-now-decrypt-later risk for encrypted peer traffic, and calls PQ BIP-324 a lower-hanging target worth pursuing immediately. Explores pure ML-KEM, hybrid ECDH+ML-KEM, classical-then-PQ upgrade, and obfuscated KEM tradeoffs; follow-up rejects TLS 1.3 as a poor fit for Bitcoin Core dependency, secp256k1, authentication, and oblivious-handshake constraints.", + "key_source": "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/", "sources": [ "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs_cetTGP54zDzJJGRPeN7gXrRYGZZYk4mRYnhJQnwotdA@mail.gmail.com/", "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8A0GLW-xdSHCKosjPqo7WSf-=YJ7F7s7t65RvtArcBEQ@mail.gmail.com/", "https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool", - "https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/" - ] + "https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/", + "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/", + "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8i=pLP30nRh_iyjSRJXne19wNezmQmo=JAk8+E4uJPhg@mail.gmail.com/", + "https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki" + ], + "last_verified": "2026-05-11" }, { "rank": 27, @@ -1155,6 +1173,21 @@ "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.21472" ], "last_verified": "2026-05-05" + }, + { + "rank": 67, + "name": "Han Luo, Ziyi Yang, Ziruo Wang, Yuexin Su, Tongyang Li", + "affiliation": "Academic (Quantum Cryptanalysis Research)", + "role": "Quantum ECDLP resource-estimation researchers", + "quantum_urgency_score": 4, + "pq_work_volume": 1, + "notable": true, + "summary": "Authors of arXiv 2604.02311 introducing a space-efficient quantum algorithm for elliptic-curve discrete logarithms with concrete resource estimation. Their reversible modular-inversion construction reduces the 256-bit prime-field ECDLP logical-qubit estimate to 1,333, down from 2,124 in the prior low-width Haener et al. implementation. This is a direct Bitcoin-relevant secp256k1 pressure signal: it narrows the resource gap for Shor-class ECDLP attacks while keeping the discussion grounded in explicit circuit counts rather than generic quantum timelines.", + "key_source": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311", + "sources": [ + "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311" + ], + "last_verified": "2026-05-11" } ] } diff --git a/public/data.json b/public/data.json index 2ea0c01..da5d57b 100644 --- a/public/data.json +++ b/public/data.json @@ -7,13 +7,13 @@ "agent_bns": "iskander-ai.btc", "version": "3.0", "bounty": "AIBTC Bounty #38 - Bitcoin Quantum Upgrade", - "total_assessed": 66, + "total_assessed": 67, "ranked": 50, - "notable_additions": 16, + "notable_additions": 17, "score_distribution": { "5_urgent": 7, - "4_proactive": 15, - "3_cautious": 9, + "4_proactive": 17, + "3_cautious": 8, "2_dismissive": 8, "1_no_known_view": 27 }, @@ -213,9 +213,23 @@ "change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; LightStim DEM automation for QEC (arXiv 2604.21472)", "pr": "#31", "contributor": "@1feems" + }, + { + "date": "2026-05-11", + "developer": "Han Luo et al.", + "change": "new entry — score 4 (Proactive), pq_work_volume 1; space-efficient ECDLP circuit lowers 256-bit prime-field estimate to 1,333 logical qubits (arXiv 2604.02311)", + "pr": null, + "contributor": "@NoeFabris" + }, + { + "date": "2026-05-11", + "developer": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun", + "change": "score 3→4 — May 2026 bitcoin-dev post proposes immediate post-quantum BIP-324 transport upgrade path using ML-KEM/hybrid KEM designs", + "pr": null, + "contributor": "@NoeFabris" } ], - "last_updated": "2026-05-05", + "last_updated": "2026-05-11", "next_review": "weekly — Sundays (DRI synthesis)" }, "developers": [ @@ -564,17 +578,21 @@ "name": "Olaoluwa Osuntokun", "affiliation": "Lightning Labs (CTO)", "role": "BIP Editor, Lightning Lead", - "quantum_urgency_score": 3, - "pq_work_volume": 2, + "quantum_urgency_score": 4, + "pq_work_volume": 3, "notable": false, - "summary": "Engaged with PQ HD wallet derivation on bitcoin-dev (Dec 2025): DilithiumRK, Falcon, SPHINCS+. On Apr 8, 2026 posted zk-STARK proof of BIP-32 seed knowledge enabling BIP-86 Taproot wallet recovery to bitcoin-dev mailing list. Proof generation ~55s on consumer MacBook, verification <2s, ~1.7 MB proof size (per CoinDesk). First executable code for post-quantum Taproot wallet recovery without exposing the seed. Research-engaged, building working tools, not advocating for urgency.", - "key_source": "https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool", + "summary": "Escalated from research-engaged to proactive in May 2026 bitcoin-dev discussion by proposing a post-quantum path for BIP-324 transport encryption. Argues Bitcoin P2P transport is also quantum-vulnerable because BIP-324 uses ECDH, describes harvest-now-decrypt-later risk for encrypted peer traffic, and calls PQ BIP-324 a lower-hanging target worth pursuing immediately. Explores pure ML-KEM, hybrid ECDH+ML-KEM, classical-then-PQ upgrade, and obfuscated KEM tradeoffs; follow-up rejects TLS 1.3 as a poor fit for Bitcoin Core dependency, secp256k1, authentication, and oblivious-handshake constraints.", + "key_source": "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/", "sources": [ "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs_cetTGP54zDzJJGRPeN7gXrRYGZZYk4mRYnhJQnwotdA@mail.gmail.com/", "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8A0GLW-xdSHCKosjPqo7WSf-=YJ7F7s7t65RvtArcBEQ@mail.gmail.com/", "https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/04/09/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool", - "https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/" - ] + "https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/bitcoin-gets-first-working-prototype-of-quantum-resistant-wallet-rescue-tool/", + "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs9U3prZJiDs0Ns7LSA07R8hM-GQou_FcTZZz-JUQpUYHw@mail.gmail.com/", + "https://gnusha.org/pi/bitcoindev/CAO3Pvs8i=pLP30nRh_iyjSRJXne19wNezmQmo=JAk8+E4uJPhg@mail.gmail.com/", + "https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki" + ], + "last_verified": "2026-05-11" }, { "rank": 27, @@ -1155,6 +1173,21 @@ "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.21472" ], "last_verified": "2026-05-05" + }, + { + "rank": 67, + "name": "Han Luo, Ziyi Yang, Ziruo Wang, Yuexin Su, Tongyang Li", + "affiliation": "Academic (Quantum Cryptanalysis Research)", + "role": "Quantum ECDLP resource-estimation researchers", + "quantum_urgency_score": 4, + "pq_work_volume": 1, + "notable": true, + "summary": "Authors of arXiv 2604.02311 introducing a space-efficient quantum algorithm for elliptic-curve discrete logarithms with concrete resource estimation. Their reversible modular-inversion construction reduces the 256-bit prime-field ECDLP logical-qubit estimate to 1,333, down from 2,124 in the prior low-width Haener et al. implementation. This is a direct Bitcoin-relevant secp256k1 pressure signal: it narrows the resource gap for Shor-class ECDLP attacks while keeping the discussion grounded in explicit circuit counts rather than generic quantum timelines.", + "key_source": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311", + "sources": [ + "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02311" + ], + "last_verified": "2026-05-11" } ] }