Add Belgian benefit administration facts

chronicle/source_package.py

@@ -124,7 +124,22 @@
         "jrc/euromod_be_baseline_statistics_2025"
     ),
     "sfpd-legal-pension-caseload-2025": Path("sfpd/legal_pension_caseload_2025"),
+    "sfpd-grapa-monthly-statistics-2025-02": Path(
+        "sfpd/grapa_monthly_statistics_2025_02"
+    ),
     "opgroeien-groeipakket-caseload-2025": Path("opgroeien/groeipakket_caseload_2025"),
+    "opgroeien-groeipakket-basic-caseload-2025-12": Path(
+        "opgroeien/groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12"
+    ),
+    "iriscare-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12": Path(
+        "iriscare/child_benefit_caseload_2025_12"
+    ),
+    "ostbelgien-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12": Path(
+        "ostbelgien/child_benefit_caseload_2025_12"
+    ),
+    "parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12": Path(
+        "parlement_wallonie/child_benefit_partitions_2023_12"
+    ),
     "bfp-economic-outlook-2026-06": Path("bfp/economic_outlook_2026_06"),
     "fpb-economic-outlook-2026-2031-june-2026": Path(
         "fpb/economic_outlook_2026_2031_june_2026"

db/data/iriscare/child_benefit_caseload_2025_12/iriscare_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+value_id,period,iriscare.statistic,publication_status,entity_view,legal_period,publisher_entity_label,retrieved_at,count,source_url
+entitled_children,2025-12,entitled_children,provisional,Children,LegalPeriod=202512,children,2026-08-30,304966,https://stat.iriscare.brussels/home/enfants-et-familles/allocations-familiales/statistiques-generales-allocations-familiales/
+payment_recipients,2025-12,payment_recipients,provisional,Beneficiaries,LegalPeriod=202512,allocataires,2026-08-30,162745,https://stat.iriscare.brussels/home/enfants-et-familles/allocations-familiales/statistiques-generales-allocations-familiales/

db/data/iriscare/child_benefit_caseload_2025_12/manifest.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,50 @@
+source_id: iriscare
+package_id: iriscare-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12
+dataset: iriscare_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12
+publisher: Iriscare, Common Community Commission of Brussels-Capital
+source_page: https://stat.iriscare.brussels/home/enfants-et-familles/allocations-familiales/statistiques-generales-allocations-familiales/
+table: General child-benefit statistics, rights period December 2025
+files:
+  2025:
+    filename: iriscare_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv
+    source_url: https://stat.iriscare.brussels/home/enfants-et-familles/allocations-familiales/statistiques-generales-allocations-familiales/
+    sha256: 7666027bdc5d793a05184bf766148966b717049d8e07044ef645ed049fe11e20
+    size_bytes: 617
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T12:26:22+00:00'
+    source_table: Official Iriscare dashboard query for LegalPeriod 202512
+    source_urls:
+    - https://stat.iriscare.brussels/home/enfants-et-familles/allocations-familiales/statistiques-generales-allocations-familiales/
+    - https://www.iriscare.brussels/nl/2026/07/22/kinderbijslag-128-222-brusselse-kinderen-kregen-in-2025-een-sociale-toeslag-bovenop-hun-kinderbijslag/
+    notes: Curated two-row capture of the official embedded dashboard result for LegalPeriod=202512,
+      retrieved on 2026-08-30. The observed Children and Beneficiaries views and the
+      publisher labels children and allocataires are guarded separately. Iriscare
+      defines allocataires as associated payment recipients, not households. The municipality
+      table includes Flemish Region, Walloon Region, outside Belgium, and unknown
+      rows, so the totals retain an Iriscare scheme scope rather than resident NUTS1
+      BE1. No stable static query identifier was exposed.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/iriscare/iriscare-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12/2025/7666027bdc5d793a05184bf766148966b717049d8e07044ef645ed049fe11e20/iriscare_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/iriscare/iriscare-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12/2025/7666027bdc5d793a05184bf766148966b717049d8e07044ef645ed049fe11e20/iriscare_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv
+  source_capture:
+    filename: iriscare-child-benefit-2025-12-dashboard-capture.zip
+    source_url: https://stat.iriscare.brussels/home/enfants-et-familles/allocations-familiales/statistiques-generales-allocations-familiales/
+    source_urls:
+    - https://stat.iriscare.brussels/home/enfants-et-familles/allocations-familiales/statistiques-generales-allocations-familiales/
+    - https://app.fabric.microsoft.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZTQ2OWQzMDItNTNkYy00Y2IyLWFmYjAtZDhlNWMxODhlYTJhIiwidCI6Ijk0YzA3MjAwLWU5MjEtNDBjNS04MzE5LTZkMjE2ZDkyZGZmMSIsImMiOjl9
+    sha256: a254455cd9bc0e872a5f47a5c3f0fa07dff2fbfe7c1b5a1e0c22b4c65036a934
+    size_bytes: 174132
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T13:08:00+00:00'
+    notes: Browser capture of both official embedded Power BI views with period 202512,
+      all communes, all acquired-right statuses, and provisional data selected. The
+      archive contains screenshots plus accessibility-tree text preserving the exact
+      304,966 entitled-child total, the exact 162,745 allocataire total, and the non-Brussels
+      and outside-Belgium rows that define the scheme-wide scope.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/iriscare/iriscare-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12/source_capture/a254455cd9bc0e872a5f47a5c3f0fa07dff2fbfe7c1b5a1e0c22b4c65036a934/iriscare-child-benefit-2025-12-dashboard-capture.zip
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/iriscare/iriscare-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12/source_capture/a254455cd9bc0e872a5f47a5c3f0fa07dff2fbfe7c1b5a1e0c22b4c65036a934/iriscare-child-benefit-2025-12-dashboard-capture.zip

db/data/opgroeien/groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12/manifest.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
+source_id: opgroeien
+package_id: opgroeien-groeipakket-basic-caseload-2025-12
+dataset: opgroeien_groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12
+publisher: Opgroeien (Agentschap Opgroeien regie), Flemish Community
+source_page: https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket/cijfers-op-maat
+table: Groeipakket basic-amount child caseload, rights period 2025/12
+files:
+  2025:
+    filename: opgroeien_groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12.csv
+    source_url: https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket/cijfers-op-maat
+    sha256: 508c49236221b0bd246f46cab25f36cdc6f61222dbbe9a64a88c67fe37f3de20
+    size_bytes: 442
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T12:26:22+00:00'
+    source_table: Official Groeipakket dashboard query result for basic-amount children
+    source_urls:
+    - https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket/cijfers-op-maat
+    - https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/vlaams-groeipakket
+    notes: Curated one-row capture of the official interactive dashboard result retrieved
+      on 2026-08-30. Separate guarded columns preserve the authored entity, period,
+      provisional-figure, Groeipakket, and basic-amount views. Opgroeien does not
+      expose this exact child count in a static download. The table includes bilateral
+      agreement and difference-payment categories, so the result is retained as a
+      scheme-wide statistical scope rather than resident NUTS1 BE2.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/opgroeien/opgroeien-groeipakket-basic-caseload-2025-12/2025/508c49236221b0bd246f46cab25f36cdc6f61222dbbe9a64a88c67fe37f3de20/opgroeien_groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12.csv
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/opgroeien/opgroeien-groeipakket-basic-caseload-2025-12/2025/508c49236221b0bd246f46cab25f36cdc6f61222dbbe9a64a88c67fe37f3de20/opgroeien_groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12.csv
+  source_capture:
+    filename: opgroeien-groeipakket-2025-12-dashboard-capture.zip
+    source_url: https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket/cijfers-op-maat
+    source_urls:
+    - https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket/cijfers-op-maat
+    - https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZTFiMzllMTUtNmUxNy00MWVkLWJiOGEtNGE3ZmVlZTY3NjZhIiwidCI6IjEzY2ZlMTgyLTY0MmEtNDgwZS1iYzhhLTVlY2Y2NWRiMGFhMCIsImMiOjh9
+    sha256: aa3a6158006e05db0d326ed1e00836d623607a4d5108a9aa96a5323c1c124bd0
+    size_bytes: 12089
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T13:06:00+00:00'
+    notes: Browser capture of the official embedded Power BI Data view. The archive
+      contains a screenshot and its accessibility-tree text. The text preserves the
+      selected 2025/12 column, every published basic-amount category, the bilateral-agreement
+      and difference-payment rows, and the exact Total 1,629,980 value.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/opgroeien/opgroeien-groeipakket-basic-caseload-2025-12/source_capture/aa3a6158006e05db0d326ed1e00836d623607a4d5108a9aa96a5323c1c124bd0/opgroeien-groeipakket-2025-12-dashboard-capture.zip
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/opgroeien/opgroeien-groeipakket-basic-caseload-2025-12/source_capture/aa3a6158006e05db0d326ed1e00836d623607a4d5108a9aa96a5323c1c124bd0/opgroeien-groeipakket-2025-12-dashboard-capture.zip

db/data/opgroeien/groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12/opgroeien_groeipakket_basic_caseload_2025_12.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
+value_id,period,groeipakket.component,publication_status,entity_view,period_view,publication_view,groeipakket_view,basic_amount_view,retrieved_at,count,source_url
+basic_amount_children,2025-12,basic_amount,provisional,Kinderen/Gezinnen=Kinderen,JJJJ/MM=2025/12,Voorlopige cijfers,Groeipakket=Groeipakket,"non-null; excludes Geen Groeipakket",2026-08-30,1629980,https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket/cijfers-op-maat

db/data/opgroeien/groeipakket_caseload_2025/manifest.yaml

@@ -19,10 +19,11 @@ files:
     source_urls:
     - https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket
     - https://www.opgroeien.be/kennis/cijfers-en-onderzoek/groeipakket/cijfers-op-maat
-    notes: Curated per-component Groeipakket caseload counts published by Opgroeien
-      (the Flemish government agency administering the Groeipakket) on its statistics
-      page. Each component carries its own published reference basis (end 2025, December
-      2025, or school year 2025-2026). The basisbedrag child count is published only
-      as "more than 1.6 million" (a rounded lower bound), so it is omitted from the
-      child record set and recorded as a gap; the exact basisbedrag family count (930,010)
+    notes: Curated per-component Groeipakket administrative scheme caseload counts
+      published by Opgroeien (the Flemish government agency administering the
+      Groeipakket) on its statistics page. These are not resident BE2 counts. Each
+      component carries its own published reference basis (end 2025, December 2025,
+      or school year 2025-2026). The basisbedrag child count is published only as
+      "more than 1.6 million" (a rounded lower bound), so it is omitted from the child
+      record set and recorded as a gap; the exact basisbedrag family count (930,010)
       is published and retained.

db/data/ostbelgien/child_benefit_caseload_2025_12/manifest.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
+source_id: ostbelgien
+package_id: ostbelgien-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12
+dataset: ostbelgien_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12
+publisher: Ministerium der Deutschsprachigen Gemeinschaft Belgiens
+source_page: https://ostbelgienstatistik.be/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-3748/6766_read-39090/
+table: Kindergeld in der Deutschsprachigen Gemeinschaft, Dezember 2025
+files:
+  2025:
+    filename: ostbelgien_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv
+    source_url: https://ostbelgienstatistik.be/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-3748/6766_read-39090/
+    sha256: 1fb13534cb93b039a1eeb380180a446d3343146289718b266ba751354a7d5a98
+    size_bytes: 475
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T12:26:22+00:00'
+    source_table: Official Ostbelgien Statistik December 2025 snapshot
+    source_urls:
+    - https://ostbelgienstatistik.be/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-3748/6766_read-39090/
+    notes: "Curated two-row transcription of the exact children and Empf\xE4nger counts\
+      \ printed on the official HTML statistics page, audited on 2026-08-30. Automated\
+      \ artifact capture was refused by the publisher with HTTP 403, so no claim is\
+      \ made that this CSV is a verbatim page download."
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/ostbelgien/ostbelgien-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12/2025/1fb13534cb93b039a1eeb380180a446d3343146289718b266ba751354a7d5a98/ostbelgien_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/ostbelgien/ostbelgien-child-benefit-caseload-2025-12/2025/1fb13534cb93b039a1eeb380180a446d3343146289718b266ba751354a7d5a98/ostbelgien_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv

db/data/ostbelgien/child_benefit_caseload_2025_12/ostbelgien_child_benefit_caseload_2025_12.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+value_id,period,ostbelgien.statistic,entity_view,source_label,retrieved_at,count,source_url
+paid_children,2025-12,paid_children,Kinder,Kinder die Kindergeld im Dezember 2025 erhielten,2026-08-30,15533,https://ostbelgienstatistik.be/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-3748/6766_read-39090/
+payment_recipients,2025-12,payment_recipients,Empfänger,Empfänger von Kindergeld im Dezember 2025,2026-08-30,8302,https://ostbelgienstatistik.be/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-3748/6766_read-39090/

db/data/parlement_wallonie/child_benefit_partitions_2023_12/manifest.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,41 @@
+source_id: parlement_wallonie
+package_id: parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12
+dataset: parlement_wallonie_child_benefit_partitions_2023_12
+publisher: Parlement de Wallonie, answer supplied by the Walloon Minister of Health
+  and Social Action
+source_page: https://www.parlement-wallonie.be/pwpages?iddoc=138138&p=interp-questions-voir&type=28
+table: Walloon child-benefit households and children, December 2023
+files:
+  2023:
+    filename: parlement_wallonie_child_benefit_partitions_2023_12.csv
+    source_url: https://nautilus.parlement-wallon.be/Archives_ARQE/3423.pdf
+    sha256: 1ffeab402feb4a597facdc749aabb85199dc9649f124ce49477320d7c4cd6d1e
+    size_bytes: 1357
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T12:26:22+00:00'
+    source_table: Four mutually exclusive household-group tables in the official answer
+    notes: Curated transcription of all four publisher-authored table-total rows,
+      retaining households, children aged 0-17, children aged 18-24, total children,
+      page number, official URL, and the verbatim PDF digest for each household-type
+      and social-supplement category. Chronicle emits only these source rows; it does
+      not construct an all-scope total.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/parlement_wallonie/parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12/2023/1ffeab402feb4a597facdc749aabb85199dc9649f124ce49477320d7c4cd6d1e/parlement_wallonie_child_benefit_partitions_2023_12.csv
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/parlement_wallonie/parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12/2023/1ffeab402feb4a597facdc749aabb85199dc9649f124ce49477320d7c4cd6d1e/parlement_wallonie_child_benefit_partitions_2023_12.csv
+  source_capture:
+    filename: parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12.pdf
+    source_url: https://nautilus.parlement-wallon.be/Archives_ARQE/3423.pdf
+    sha256: 92b8dee4e25b91f891f78f60179abe881c5ad9d7d9b5436c767cf69f9dc55651
+    size_bytes: 70032
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T12:21:36+00:00'
+    notes: Verbatim official two-page PDF answer. Its four December 2023 tables distinguish
+      single-parent versus other households and presence versus absence of a social
+      supplement.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/parlement_wallonie/parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12/source_capture/92b8dee4e25b91f891f78f60179abe881c5ad9d7d9b5436c767cf69f9dc55651/parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12.pdf
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/parlement_wallonie/parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12/source_capture/92b8dee4e25b91f891f78f60179abe881c5ad9d7d9b5436c767cf69f9dc55651/parlement-wallonie-child-benefit-partitions-2023-12.pdf

db/data/parlement_wallonie/child_benefit_partitions_2023_12/parlement_wallonie_child_benefit_partitions_2023_12.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
+value_id,period,parlement_wallonie.household_type,parlement_wallonie.social_supplement_status,households,children_0_17,children_18_24,children_total,source_row_label,source_pdf_page,source_capture_sha256,source_url
+single_parent_with_social_supplement,2023-12,single_parent,with_social_supplement,89575,118421,30748,149169,Ménages monoparentaux avec suppléments sociaux,1,92b8dee4e25b91f891f78f60179abe881c5ad9d7d9b5436c767cf69f9dc55651,https://nautilus.parlement-wallon.be/Archives_ARQE/3423.pdf
+single_parent_without_social_supplement,2023-12,single_parent,without_social_supplement,24535,25316,13069,38385,Ménages monoparentaux sans suppléments sociaux,1,92b8dee4e25b91f891f78f60179abe881c5ad9d7d9b5436c767cf69f9dc55651,https://nautilus.parlement-wallon.be/Archives_ARQE/3423.pdf
+other_household_with_social_supplement,2023-12,other_household,with_social_supplement,90308,148409,28820,177229,Autres ménages avec suppléments sociaux,1,92b8dee4e25b91f891f78f60179abe881c5ad9d7d9b5436c767cf69f9dc55651,https://nautilus.parlement-wallon.be/Archives_ARQE/3423.pdf
+other_household_without_social_supplement,2023-12,other_household,without_social_supplement,308949,430670,114772,545442,Autres ménages sans suppléments sociaux,1,92b8dee4e25b91f891f78f60179abe881c5ad9d7d9b5436c767cf69f9dc55651,https://nautilus.parlement-wallon.be/Archives_ARQE/3423.pdf

db/data/sfpd/grapa_monthly_statistics_2025_02/manifest.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,39 @@
+source_id: sfpd
+package_id: sfpd-grapa-monthly-statistics-2025-02
+dataset: sfpd_grapa_monthly_statistics_2025_02
+source_page: https://www.sfpd.fgov.be/fr/centre-de-connaissances/statistiques
+table: "Statistique mensuelle des prestations sociales - F\xE9vrier 2025, table 2.4.1"
+files:
+  2025:
+    filename: sfpd_grapa_monthly_2025_01.csv
+    source_url: https://www.sfpd.fgov.be/files/3432/fr_stat_2502.pdf
+    sha256: 6ff9d5d99881b48be68343cb259fb86d29761e020b39afed5df217bb6fc5ce01
+    size_bytes: 400
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T12:08:46+00:00'
+    source_table: "Statistique mensuelle des prestations sociales - F\xE9vrier 2025,\
+      \ table 2.4.1"
+    notes: Long-form transcription of the January 2025 total, men, and women rows
+      from SFPD table 2.4.1. Counts and euro amounts reconcile exactly across the
+      two published sex partitions. The exact publisher PDF is retained as source_capture
+      below.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/sfpd/sfpd-grapa-monthly-statistics-2025-02/2025/6ff9d5d99881b48be68343cb259fb86d29761e020b39afed5df217bb6fc5ce01/sfpd_grapa_monthly_2025_01.csv
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/sfpd/sfpd-grapa-monthly-statistics-2025-02/2025/6ff9d5d99881b48be68343cb259fb86d29761e020b39afed5df217bb6fc5ce01/sfpd_grapa_monthly_2025_01.csv
+  source_capture:
+    filename: fr_stat_2502.pdf
+    source_url: https://www.sfpd.fgov.be/files/3432/fr_stat_2502.pdf
+    sha256: 0d6173e71a0e9c2cd220cd024a5b5fecbb6ca79f8b791cbd2b3368e7f8412106
+    size_bytes: 2319705
+    fetched_at: '2026-08-30T12:08:46+00:00'
+    notes: Verbatim SFPD monthly-statistics PDF. Printed page 36, table 2.4.1, reports
+      January 2025 GRAPA beneficiaries and monthly payments for the total population
+      and mutually exclusive men and women partitions.
+    storage:
+      r2:
+        provider: r2
+        bucket: ledger-raw
+        key: raw/belgium/sfpd/sfpd-grapa-monthly-statistics-2025-02/source_capture/0d6173e71a0e9c2cd220cd024a5b5fecbb6ca79f8b791cbd2b3368e7f8412106/fr_stat_2502.pdf
+        uri: r2://ledger-raw/raw/belgium/sfpd/sfpd-grapa-monthly-statistics-2025-02/source_capture/0d6173e71a0e9c2cd220cd024a5b5fecbb6ca79f8b791cbd2b3368e7f8412106/fr_stat_2502.pdf

db/data/sfpd/grapa_monthly_statistics_2025_02/sfpd_grapa_monthly_2025_01.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,4 @@
+sex,period,reference_basis,beneficiaries,monthly_amount_eur,source_url
+all,2025-01,regular_payment_snapshot,118262,85039735.46,https://www.sfpd.fgov.be/files/3432/fr_stat_2502.pdf
+male,2025-01,regular_payment_snapshot,42346,28338945.37,https://www.sfpd.fgov.be/files/3432/fr_stat_2502.pdf
+female,2025-01,regular_payment_snapshot,75916,56700790.09,https://www.sfpd.fgov.be/files/3432/fr_stat_2502.pdf